Theft by intimidation: a simulation of criminal behavior from an economic perspective for the reflection on public policies

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Published: 30-11-2015
DOI: https://doi.org/10.18566/infpsicv15n2a01

How to Cite

Perdomo Quiroz, J. D., Moreno Valencia, J. E., & Perdomo Fontalvo, D. A. (2015). Theft by intimidation: a simulation of criminal behavior from an economic perspective for the reflection on public policies. Informes Psicológicos, 15(2), 13-32. https://doi.org/10.18566/infpsicv15n2a01

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Author Biographies

Juan David Perdomo Quiroz, Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana

Economista y aspirante a Psicólogo

Juan Erasmo Moreno Valencia, Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana

Economista

Darío Alfonso Perdomo Fontalvo, Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana

Doctor en Gestión Eficiente de la Energía Eléctrica

Main Article Content

Juan David Perdomo Quiroz
Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana
Juan Erasmo Moreno Valencia
Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana
Darío Alfonso Perdomo Fontalvo
Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana

Abstract

Aim: The aim of this article is to present a simulation of the theft by intimidation for a period of one year which allows to establish a comparative analysis and a reflection on public policies. Method: ABM (agent-based model) was used in order to recreate the interaction between the different stakeholders and record levels of theft as the efficiency of public policies varies. Results: The results suggest that prevention policies have a greater impact to reduce the number of thefts with regard to coercive measures, as well as the existence of a natural rate of thefts when policies increase their capacity for impact. Conclusions: Coercive policies only play a role of containment and do not help to reduce the levels of theft; spatially, are configured theft niches in the virtual "territory" where agents interact, and diminishing marginal returns for the impact capacity of the simulated policies are observed.

Keywords:
Crime, theft, public policies, agent-based modeling, behavior

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